Analytics’ specialty is creating risk models and interpreting the output
from those models to assist in decision making. Usually, the
applications in which Analytics is involved focus on the design,
structuring, pricing and development strategy for property
and casualty self-insurance and insurance programs.
Insurance
Program Renewal and/or Restructuring Loss Projections
At renewal time, clients and their brokers/insurance advisors
find it valuable to have loss projections from a risk quantification
model for the exposures in their program. Using statistical
analysis of the client’s loss history, the risk quantification
model provides projections of potential losses within various
layers of an insurance program. The model allows alternative
structures (for example different deductibles) to be explored
in an informed manner. The analysis helps to redress the balance
in negotiations with underwriters, since the client and broker
now have a quantification of the risk that the underwriter
is taking in a particular program structure, as well as their
own retained risk.
Technically
Optimizing Retention Structures
Based on a theoretical cost/benefit analysis using loss projections
from a risk quantification model, what is known as the technically
optimizing retention structure can be identified. This provides
a guideline and benchmark against which to explore program
structures in the insurance market place.
Captive
Insurance Subsidiary Creation and Development
Analytics is involved with both the establishment of new captives
and the development of programs for existing captives. In
both cases, quantification of the risk to which the captive
is exposed through its underwriting is a crucial element in
the decision making process. The output from the risk quantification
model provides important input to the business plan and formal
licensing application process which is inherent in the establishment
of a new captive insurance subsidiary.
For
existing captives alternative development strategies, such
as the introduction of new covers into the program, can be
explored based on a risk quantification model and corresponding
financial statement impact simulations. The model results
are also used to address premium and capitalization requirements.
Reciprocal
Insurance Exchange Creation and Development
The establishment or program development of a reciprocal requires
similar risk quantification analysis input as does a captive.
Since reciprocals usually apply to groups of organizations,
such as an association’s members, the creation of underwriting/pricing
and premium allocation methodologies is a particularly important
aspect of the service which Analytics offers.
Premium
Allocation
In decentralized organizations a clear, transparent and equitable
premium allocation methodology is an important risk management
tool. The premium allocation can be used to incent desired
behaviour and penalize behaviours that the corporation wishes
to discourage. Analytics works with organizations to establish
what their priorities are for a premium allocation methodology
and then creates the framework and models to do that.
Risk
Models for Exotic Covers
In situations where no, or insufficient, loss history is available
upon which to base statistical models, Analytics uses a simulation
approach to create a risk quantification model. This might
apply to more exotic exposures such as intellectual property,
warranty on new products, rogue trading, environmental exposures,
flood, earthquake and other low frequency/high severity exposures.
The objective with simulation risk model is to establish a
series of input assumptions in the form of ranges. The assumptions
are based on research and the views of accessible experts
translated into risk model inputs.
Once
the risk model is established the same types of decisions
on design, structure, pricing and strategy can be addressed
as have been described already.
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